S&P 500 headed to 2,500, courtesy of Japan?

November 12, 2014

Stocks finished a smidge higher Tuesday in a session so quiet that you felt compelled to check your Internet connection because it seemed like prices just were not moving. Knock,... Continue Reading »

Homebuilders are knocking on the door again

October 21, 2014

There are some groups of stocks that are the never-ending object of our attention for months and years on end, and then something happens and you gradually stop looking —... Continue Reading »

'Ebolatility' infects stocks, sparks bonds

October 16, 2014

Stocks keeled over on Wednesday like sawgrass in a stiff wind, bending and trembling but never actually breaking. There was a list of catalysts as long as your arm, even... Continue Reading »

Daily Issues

Stocks Likely to Move Higher with Holiday Spirit

November 24, 2014

Weeks that contain holidays tend to be positive for stocks, and this one comes near the start of one of the best six-month stretches for stocks in the year. So the natural tendency is going to be for shares to rise unless there is a very compelling reason for them to back off.

One of the best stocks overall in the two week stretch coming up has been our financial conglomerate, with a 4.9% median gain. Last year, it was down 2% in the stretch, but in the prior two years it was up 10% each time. History is not destiny, but it always helps when you have some kind of tailwind, like we do at present. You should be more willing to take action. We have a lot of good positions on right now, and I expect to recommend more in the coming couple of days.

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Trades Update

November 21, 2014

It was another pretty exciting week. The market started off strong on Monday and Tuesday before gapping lower on Wednesday, closing relatively flat, then was just a little higher on Thursday. Today we gapped higher on news out of Europe that the European Central Bank is closer to quantitative easing than was previously believed, and overnight there was word that the People's Bank of China had cut interest rates, moving to a much more accommodative position than investors had expected.

The only problem was that the really big move that futures made overnight, where the S&P 500 essentially jumped about 15 points in about 5 minutes -- most of that was given back during today's session. But basically I would say that we're a really good position for next week.

In today's Trader's Advantage, I'll share my future outlook for the market and review the latest action in our Buy List during this week's Markman in a Minute podcast. I also have three new buys to share, and I'm making changes to a few parameters for our current trades.

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Central Bank Heroes at Center Stage

November 20, 2014

The day's initial color was blue as investors showed a measure of sadness about new signs of global growth trouble with disappointing flash PMI data out of China and Europe. But then it was like, 'Oh well,' and stocks took off around noon ET.

There was nothing specific behind the resilience other than the overall feeling that the central banks are going to bail the world out of industrial and financial setbacks that otherwise would lead to a vale of tears. All in all, a pretty darned good day that provided a boost for our more aggressive positions.

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Which of the following sectors of the market do you think will outperform for the balance of 2014?

  • Utilities
  • Energy
  • Healthcare
  • Technology
  • Financials
  • Industrials